Process nodes and yield: what a generation is actually worth
A process node is a package of transistor density, speed and power characteristics, not a measurement. What decides whether a node makes money is yield — the fraction of dies on a wafer that work — and yield is governed by defect density and die size in a relationship that punishes large chips severely.
In one sentence
A process node is a named generation of manufacturing technology with a characteristic transistor density, performance and power profile; yield is the fraction of dies on a wafer that meet specification.
Wafers are priced per wafer, not per working die. So the cost of a good die is the wafer cost divided by how many good ones come off it, which makes yield the dominant variable in whether a product is profitable — more so than the headline price of the process.
Yield depends on defect density and die area together, and the interaction is punishing. Random defects are scattered across a wafer; a larger die is a larger target, so the probability that a given die is defect-free falls steeply as area grows. This single relationship explains why very large chips are disproportionately expensive, and why the industry has moved toward splitting them into smaller pieces.
How it works
The yield-versus-area relationship
If defects land randomly at some density per unit area, the chance a die escapes all of them falls roughly exponentially with its area. Doubling die size does far more than double the loss. Beyond a certain size the yield is so low that the product is uneconomic at any price — which is the constraint chiplets were adopted to escape.
The learning curve
A new node starts at poor yield and improves over months to years as sources of defect are found and eliminated. That curve is why early production is expensive and reserved for products that can bear it, and why a mature node is cheap. Most of the improvement is unglamorous: finding the tool, the chemical or the handling step that produces particles.
Binning and recovery
Not every partially defective die is scrap. Chips are designed with redundancy — spare memory rows, extra cores — so a die with a defect in a redundant block can be repaired by configuration. Others are sold as lower-specification parts. Both practices convert what would be yield loss into revenue, and they are a designed-in feature rather than an afterthought.
What this depends on
Technology dependencies are solved by engineering; supply dependencies are solved by building something, which takes years.
Technology
Defect inspection and metrology
Improving yield requires finding defects, which requires being able to see them; inspection capability sets the pace of the learning curve.
What a node generation actually delivers is largely the device structure it ships. A generation that cannot make the new structure yield is a generation with nothing to sell.
Crystal defects and surface particles on the starting substrate become killer defects regardless of how well the process runs, so wafer defectivity sets a floor under yield.
What each company supplies at this step, and — where a public figure exists — its share of this specific market — with what that share measures, the period it covers and who published it. Some rows also show the company’s own reported revenue for the segment covering this step, which is a different thing: it says how much this business matters to that company, not how much of the market it holds. Not a ranking and not a recommendation.
Supplies the actinic mask inspection that catches defects before they are printed into every wafer in a lot.
What would change the picture
Whether the cost per transistor keeps falling at leading-edge nodes or has flattened.
How fast new nodes climb the yield curve relative to previous generations.
Whether chiplet partitioning continues to substitute for large monolithic dies.
Questions people ask about this
Why are large chips so expensive?
Because yield falls steeply with area. Random defects are spread across a wafer, so a die twice as large is far more than twice as likely to contain one. Above a certain size the fraction of working dies becomes so small that the product cannot be sold economically, whatever the wafer price.
Do node names mean the same thing across manufacturers?
No. They are generation labels, not measurements, and different manufacturers apply them differently. Meaningful comparison requires published figures for transistor density, performance at a given power, and power at a given performance — not the name.
Each page explains one technology in plain language, states what it depends on, and names companies by what they supply at that step. Company roles are described qualitatively and deliberately carry no market shares, revenue figures or rankings — those change faster than an explainer can, and a stale number is worse than none. Ticker links point at company pages on this site and are provided for reference only.
Nothing here is investment advice, a recommendation, or a forecast. A company named on a page about a technology is not thereby a good investment, and the chokepoints described are structural facts about supply chains rather than predictions about prices. Technology moves; where a page describes something as unresolved or in development, that was true when it was written.